Sunday, December 31, 2006

Hello World

Just for posterity’s sake (and to document it), my picks for who will come out on top of the current console wars.

Overall:

  1. Wii
  2. Xbox360
  3. PS3

North America:

  1. Wii.
  2. Xbox360
  3. PS3
  • Rationale: Xbox360 will continue to lead in 2007 but Nintendo will continue to close the gap with their aggressive push to the non-gamer crowd and continued sales to the Nintendo faithful. By the end of this generation, I see Nintendo with the greatest number of console sales - but not by much. There will be no clear cut majority as in the last generation.
  • PS3 will have a difficult time overcoming their earlier stumbles. The console is too expensive; it’s too expensive to develop games for the PS3; the market penetration of the PS3 is limited because of its price point; that in turn will cause developers to shun the PS3 because of development costs and lack of console ownership mentioned supra.

Japan:

  1. Wii
  2. PS3
  3. Xbox360
  • Rationale: For whatever reason, Japan has not warmed up to the Xbox360. The Wii has many parallels with the Nintendo DS and I predict the Wii will mirror the success of the DS in Japan.

Europe:

  1. Wii
  2. Xbox360
  3. PS3
  • Rationale: Everything costs more in Europe. Because of this, the Wii will have a distinct advantage for the foreseeable future.

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